The boiling frog theory on population

This is a very long, and important, post. O f all the radical ideas I have espoused in How to Save the World, none has proven to be as controversial as my belief that substantial human population reduction is a necessary condition I am not sure whether it is a sufficient condition to prevent ecological catastrophe in this century. The chart above, which I explained in this postshows the impact of our continued population explosion, far beyond the levels of sustainability represented by the green and red lines on the chart the green line allows for coexistence with other creatures, the red line hogs all resources on earth for humans.

The boiling frog theory on population

The Boiling Frog Systems thinkers have given us a useful metaphor for a certain kind of human behaviour in the phenomenon of the boiled frog. The phenomenon is this. If you drop a frog in a pot of boiling water, it will of course frantically try to clamber out. But if you place it gently in a pot of tepid water and turn the heat on low, it will float there quite placidly.

As the water gradually hearts up, the frog will sink into a tranquil stupor, exactly like one of us in a hot bath, and before long, with a smile on its face, it will unresistingly allow itself to be boiled to death.

An example of the smiling-boiled-frog phenomenon, is provided by our own culture. When we slipped into the cauldron, the water was a perfect temperature, not too hot, not too cold. When did we become we? Where and when did the thing called us begin? In the Near East, about 10, years ago.

That was our cultural birthplace.

The boiling frog theory on population

That was where and when we slipped into that beautifully pleasant water: A long time has to pass before the water begins to be dangerously hot, and our own history demonstrates this. For fully half of our history, the first years, signs of distress are almost nonexistent.

But gradually, imperceptibly, signs of distress begin to appear, like tiny bubbles at the bottom of a pot. What shall we look for, as signs of distress? No, of course not. Those come much later, when the water is scalding hot.

The boiling frog theory on population

It was burning there in the beginning, was still burning after years. It was and is the great heating element of our revolution. One particular style of agriculture. One particular style that has been the basis of our culture from its beginnings 10, years ago to the present moment -- the basis of our culture and found in no other.

Totalitarian agriculture was not adopted in our culture out of sheer meanness. Totalitarian agriculture represents productivity to the max. Totalitarian agriculture is the fire under our cauldron. Totalitarian agriculture is what has kept us "on the boil" here for 10, years. Food availability and population growth The people of our culture take food so much for granted that they often have a hard time seeing that there is a necessary connection between the availability of food and population growth.

Imagine if you will a cage with movable sides, so that it can be enlarged to any desired size. We begin by putting 10 healthy mice of both sexes into the cage, along with plenty of food and water.

In a few weeks, as we steadily increase the amount of available food, there will be 40, then 50, then 60, and so on, until one day there is All we have to do is stop increasing the amount of food that goes into the cage.

Every day we put in an amount that we know is sufficient to sustain mice -- and no more. The growth of the community stops dead. Not overnight, of course, but in very short order.

Putting in an amount of food sufficient for mice, we will find -- every single time -- that the population of the cage soon stabilizes at It will fluctuate between 90 and but never go much beyond those limits.

On the average, day after day, year after year, decade after decade, the population inside the cage will be This is a certainty.

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The same will happen with crickets or trout or badgers or sparrows. But I fear that many people bridle at the idea that humans might be included in this list.

For all but the last 10, years of that period, the human species was a very minor member of the world ecosystem. There was some growth, of course, through simple migration continent to continent, but this growth was proceeding at a glacial rate.

Then, very suddenly, things began to change.(a) The Boiling Frog.

Essay on truth alone triumphs 400 words double spaced

Systems thinkers have given us a useful metaphor for a certain kind of human behaviour in the phenomenon of the boiled frog. The phenomenon is this. If you drop a frog in a pot of boiling water, it will of course frantically try to clamber out.

As the water gradually heats up, the frog will sink into a tranquil stupor, exactly like one of us in a hot bath, and before long, with a smile on its face, it will unresistingly allow itself to be boiled to death. THE BOILING FROG. by Daniel Quinn Excerpt from the book, “The Story of B” Systems thinkers have given us a useful metaphor for a certain kind of human behavior in the phenomenon of the boiled frog.

The Boiling Frog Theory on Population Systems thinkers have given us a useful metaphor for a certain kind of human behavior in the phenomenon of the boiled frog. The Boiling Frog Theory On Population. The Boiling Frog Theory on Population Systems thinkers have given us a useful metaphor for a certain kind of human behavior in the phenomenon of the boiled caninariojana.com phenomenon is this.

If you drop a frog in a pot of boiling water, it will of course frantically try to clamber out. But if you place it gently in a pot of tepid water and turn the heat on low.

The boiling frog theory on population relates the issues associated with the human population growth to boiling a frog alive. The theory states that a frog placed in boiling water will jumps out, but if placed in cold water then gently heated to boil the frog will boil to death without jumping out.

caninariojana.com: The Boiling Frog